TCU is an overwhelming 12 1/2-point favorite against Northern Illinois in tonight's Poinsettia Bowl. And everyone is picking the Frogs, who should not disappoint. NIU's Garrett Wolfe is the nation's leading rusher with 1,900 yards and will probably end the year under the magic 2,000 mark. How can I be so sure? TCU's run defense is stout, ranking fourth nationally. But when everyone expects the Frogs to win, bad things can happen.
Coach Gary Patterson often says his team plays better as the underdog. In big games, that seems to be true. But despite the point spread tonight, the Poinsettia Bowl remains a key game for TCU as it heads into 2007 without quarterback Jeff Ballard and a proven primary receiver.
As a school in the non-BCS Mountain West Conference, TCU must start high in the polls to have a realistic chance of qualifying for the Bowl Championship Series. The foundation for next year will begin to be laid in less than 2 1/2 hours.
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